Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.049469 0.053797 0.058185 0.062959 0.068000 0.073157 0.078825
2025-05-25 0.041151 0.047359 0.053893 0.061255 0.069292 0.077771 0.087368
2025-06-01 0.035260 0.042721 0.050842 0.060272 0.070860 0.082319 0.095597
2025-06-08 0.032245 0.040839 0.050462 0.061920 0.075081 0.089615 0.106768
2025-06-15 0.029490 0.038924 0.049766 0.062972 0.078446 0.095836 0.116683
2025-06-22 0.026994 0.037050 0.048893 0.063620 0.081192 0.101247 0.125621
2025-06-29 0.024571 0.035040 0.047663 0.063671 0.083096 0.105584 0.133259
2025-07-06 0.023358 0.034413 0.048011 0.065539 0.087102 0.112356 0.143745
2025-07-13 0.021206 0.032413 0.046510 0.065008 0.088108 0.115497 0.149902
2025-07-20 0.019606 0.031013 0.045657 0.065188 0.089907 0.119536 0.157103
2025-07-27 0.018495 0.030181 0.045464 0.066142 0.092620 0.124660 0.165609
2025-08-03 0.017741 0.029780 0.045788 0.067724 0.096103 0.130727 0.175286
2025-08-10 0.015482 0.027145 0.043047 0.065260 0.094438 0.130469 0.177306
2025-08-17 0.014123 0.025710 0.041855 0.064770 0.095254 0.133272 0.183096
2025-08-24 0.012902 0.024394 0.040752 0.064336 0.096095 0.136081 0.188890
2025-08-31 0.012548 0.024367 0.041448 0.066344 0.100148 0.142985 0.199856
2025-09-07 0.011989 0.023981 0.041598 0.067581 0.103178 0.148598 0.209234
2025-09-14 0.011330 0.023389 0.041414 0.068325 0.105537 0.153352 0.217549
2025-09-21 0.010542 0.022528 0.040787 0.068408 0.106980 0.156912 0.224352
2025-09-28 0.010306 0.022568 0.041494 0.070386 0.111004 0.163853 0.235519
2025-10-05 0.009452 0.021497 0.040469 0.069834 0.111540 0.166216 0.240807
2025-10-12 0.008840 0.020800 0.039979 0.070027 0.113079 0.169889 0.247790
2025-10-19 0.008456 0.020479 0.040055 0.071031 0.115736 0.175044 0.256712